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The inability to find any record of Harrison J. Bounel means he must be a real person!

The American Thinker published an article, “Barack Hussein Obama and Harrison J. Bounel,” by criminologist Jason Kissner today that argues that the association between the name Harrison J. Bounel and Barack Obama in some unspecified transaction in a public database is much more than coincidence or an attempt at identity fraud.

Kissner basically follows in the footsteps of British eccentric Lord Monckton, arguing that there are too many anomalies in Obama’s record to have occurred by chance. Monckton, however, actually attempted some math.1

Detractors of the birther Social Security fraud theory point out that no one has been able to locate this Harrison J. Bounel who birthers claim is a real person to whom the social security number used by Barack Obama was originally assigned. If such a person existed, debunkers say, then one ought to be able to find some independent record of him.

Kissner turns the tables and says that the inability to find other records of Bounel is proof that he is a real person (are you confused yet?).  Kissner’s argument is that the database record could not be fraudulent because it would have been too difficult to actually find someone with no other record in order to perpetrate the fraud.

Kissner’s claim is inserted in a straw man argument refuting the idea that some anti-Obama person created the fake record for Bounel. I suppose someone might have speculated on the possibility that the public record for Bounel with Obama’s SSN was created for the purpose of creating an anomaly in Obama’s record (I might have even done it), but I think it is more likely to be an error or an attempt at identity theft. The straw man context is not important because Kissner’s argument fits the real argument of random error or fraud as well as it does the straw man.

Kissner’s fallacy, however, is the ad hoc assignment of probability to something that’s already happened. It’s like looking at the winning lottery number and saying “what are the chances this number would come up?” and then arguing that the lottery must be rigged. In order to make the probability argument, one has to set the criteria in advance, or they have to be necessary. The fact that the name “Harrison J Bounel” doesn’t belong to anybody is not necessary to the hypothesis and so it’s not significant, no matter how improbable it is.

But the probability of coming up with a name belonging to nobody isn’t that low; in fact, it’s easy. I the names “Kissner” and “Bounel” and used them with the first and middle names of the members of my immediate family (6 total). I got only one hit on Google for the 12 names I tried.

And finally Kissner’s argument works equally well against Obama fraudulently using an SSN belonging to Bounel: How could Obama have found someone so totally devoid of any record?

What Kissner won’t address is: assuming Harrison J Bounel is a real person (birther hypothesis), what are the chances that there is no record of him anywhere, not birth announcement, obituary, immigration record, census, city directory, grave, genealogy nor criminal record?

Read more:


Kissner did some math in another article. The math was right, but the assumptions he made were unreasonable.

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Arizona Auditor General may look into Cold Case Posse donations

According to the Arizona’s Politics blog, the Arizona Auditor General will consider information about the County/MSCO/Posse relationship. Information published on this blog, Brian Reilly’s first hand accounts of the Posse, and my investigation of the lack of CCP financial accountability, are things that may be considered.

I do not understand, however, how the Arizona Auditor General can audit the Cold Case Posse when they are a private non-profit.

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Alabama chief justice may have tipped off birthers

Investigation requested

Photo of Moore with US flag in backgroundRC Radio reports that Birmingham Attorney Barry Ragsdale has notified the Alabama Supreme Court of a possible ethics violation. This came after Sharon Rondeau of the Post & Email wrote that Alabama Chief Justice Roy Moore had spoken to someone and told them the future date of the Alabama Supreme Court decision in McInnish v. Chapman. The correct prediction of the date was published at the P&E. Lest we jump to conclusions, Ragsdale in his letter to the court cautioned:

Needless to say, given the tenor and content of the on-line blogs in question, there is reason to doubt the accuracy or veracity of anything reported by them.

Judge Moore was previously an author for WorldNetDaily.

Read the details at RC Radio.

After thinking about this for a while, I feel it more likely that Judge Moore did not have the conversation claimed by Rondeau. The “face to face” detail seems contrived, something added to make the story more believable. This story is a bit like Orly Taitz’ complaint about extra-judicial remarks by Judge Wingate in Mississippi, one that is almost certainly bogus.

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Twittersphere explodes over faked photo

Can you find the floating finger?

Carney, Shipman and their children staged a mock press conference for Washingtonian MOM magazine, in front of a bookshelf that included a copy of 'Soviet Architecture' (next to the Gorbachev bobblehead, 4th shelf R)

I don’t know if the birthers think this is an impeachable offense, but they certainly think it’s part of a pattern of deception at the White House. The photo above was taken at White House Press Secretary Jay Carney’s home and appeared in Washingtonian MOM magazine in a profile of Carney’s wife. If you look on the right set of shelves, the second shelf from the top, you’ll see the phantom finger on a book spine, obviously from a book copied from the shelves on the left.

Apparently this is a conspiracy to make it seem that Carney reads more books than he actually does.  I think he’s giving the birthers the finger.

Personally I have lost count of how many boxes of books I’ve given away and my shelves are not double stacked the way they once were. I discovered e-books.

Read even more shocking disclosures at Business Insider, or check out Birther Report’sObama Caught Photoshopping Another Regime Propaganda Photo.”

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Birther tax

A modest proposal

In the United States today’s tax day, the deadline for filing federal income tax forms for 2013. I E-filed mine yesterday and mailed my quarterly estimated tax payments today. Let’s just say that I have a lot less money today than I did two days ago. For some reason paying my taxes is an anxious experience, I guess because I am afraid that I will make a mistake.

If I may speak partially out ignorance for a moment, it seems to me that one of the differences between conservatives and liberals is that liberals want to distribute the burden of funding government programs using a formula where the largest share goes to those who can best afford it, while conservatives want the burden of funding government programs to fall more on those who use the programs, the latter approach labeled “user fees.”

I remember that when my son attended UC Berkeley, one of the mandatory student fees paid for unlimited public bus transit. Everybody paid the fee (and we could just as well call it a tax) whether they rode the bus or not. I pay property tax to support schools, even though I have no school-age children.

It seems to me that birthers consume an inordinate amount of government resources when they file repetitive lawsuits, say irresponsible things that require Secret Service investigation, file FOIA requests, bug congressmen, degrade public education by promoting false history, require police supervision for demonstrations, claim undeserved tax subsidies, and generally make a nuisance of themselves. Why shouldn’t they pay a user fee for their conspiracy activism?

Here’s my solution: a birther tax:

birther tax

Just an idea.

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The re-branding of Mike Zullo

My apologies to readers. I thought this was a new article, but it was from last summer.

It’s too soon to be certain, but a new article by Floyd Brown (author of Obama’s Enemies List: How Barack Obama Intimidated America and Stole the Election) looks like the introduction of a new career for Cold Case Posse Commander Mike Zullo.

Readers here have wondered just how Mike Zullo, 53, makes his living. Zullo was a policeman in New Jersey, he said, for 5 years and then was a private investigator for a few more. Then he moved to Arizona and was involved in the automotive sales business. But recently Zullo’s source of income has been a mystery, leading to speculation that he was siphoning off charitable contributions to the Cold Case Posse, speculation only heightened by the opaque finances of that organization.

Now, we learn that Zullo has an occupation of sorts: day trading.1 Brown published the article, “A Dollar Collapse is Coming” on his web site Capitol Hill Daily. It opens up with this introduction of Mike Zullo:

4 computer monitors with day trading softwareMike Zullo is an impressive man. When he strides into my office I can immediately see him carefully observe and analyze his surroundings. This is a result of his years of law enforcement training. Mike spent a number of years as a cop, and then as a detective.

After a successful career in law enforcement, he left to become a trader of equities. Here, Mike also excelled. But recently he has focused less on making money and more on protecting America – a country we both agreed had given us much but was now in grave danger.

The article itself is not a profile of Zullo, quickly jumping from Zullo puffery to its main point: that US currency is unsafe, will crash, and that Brown will one day tell people how to survive. Brown, along with others who advertise at WorldNetDaily, sell financial fear and anxiety—the financial apocalypse is coming any day now.

So what is Zullo doing in the article besides striding in, impressing the author, and agreeing with him? The only reason for Zullo even being in the article that I can think of is that Brown is introducing Zullo to his readers in preparation for Zullo entering the field of financial punditry. After demonstrating that he can sell promises to birthers, year after year, while delivering nothing, Zullo seems the perfect salesman for apocalyptic financial predictions of the collapse to happen any day now.

We’ll just have to wait an see whether Zullo’s new career is pursued and how well he does.


1Some day traders make a consistent living, but most lose money, and many go broke. For some, day trading is a day job, and for others it is gambling addiction. It’s too risky for my blood.

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