It has been my longstanding view that the birthers only had one
true argument to suggest Obama was hiding something on the long form birth certificate. I mean, the 2007 Certification of Live Birth really is legal, and it really has a certificate number, stamp and seal; it really is only issued to people born in Hawaii, the newspaper announcements came from the Health Department and on and on. None of those objections is based on a true premise. But there is one thing that is true: up until April 27, 2011, Barack Obama refused to release his long form birth certificate.
Among those reasonable folks who doubt Obama’s place of birth, I have had some success disproving specific false claims, but it always in the end comes down to an argument like: “If Obama’s long form really said what he claims, then he would release it, so his not releasing it makes me believe that the long form has a major problem.”
That argument doesn’t work any more, leaving the reasonable folks satisfied. This shows up in a CNN/Opinion Research Corp. poll that showed a drop in birther numbers. This poll is interesting because it adds some demographic information. Overall, 80% of Americans are now “definitely believe” Barack Obama was born in the US (69% Republicans, 80% independents, 89% Democrats). Most of the shift was among Republicans, with significant shift in older Americans and those with a college education.