I have always had doubts about birther poll numbers and found it hard to believe that there are as many birthers as the numbers suggest. I am part of the 25% of Americans who believe that people respond to polls saying Obama is ineligible just for spite and not because they believe it.
I find confirmation for my doubts in the California Attorney General election results. I’m working from two assumptions: 1) almost every birther knows who Orly Taitz is and 2) almost everybody knew that Kamala Harris was going to win big.
If Obama’s eligibility is a big deal, then it seems to me that a significant number of voters would vote for Taitz as a symbolic gesture against Barack Obama. On the other hand, no one in their right mind would vote for Taitz because they think she would make a good attorney general. Indeed, the 3.1% for Taitz may just be the Schadenfreude vote. So at least in California, we can put the birther vote somewhere less than 3.1%, far below polling numbers for birthers.