Facebook v. Fake News

In a welcome announcement, Facebook says that it will use third-party sources to fact-check news items on its social media service. It’s a shame they didn’t do this 8 years ago, or 8 months ago.

I had proposed via Twitter, on my Facebook timeline, and my personal web site, that Facebook add “Fake” as an alternative to its existing “Like,” “Love,” “Angry,” and “Sad.” It looks like Facebook is going to implement a variation on my suggestion by adding an “It’s a fake news story” option to their current spam reporting.

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Posted in Fake News, Social Media | Tagged | 44 Comments

Arpaio, Zullo hold press conference: claim Obama birth certificate a forgery

ABC 15 Arizona live-streamed the press conference at 4 PM Arizona time.

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Arpaio introduced Mike Zullo, who presented a video produced by Mark Gillar in which the claim is made that nine bits of Obama’s birth certificate were copied from the certificate of Johanna Ah’nee. The argument as presented rests on two date stamps on the two certificates having the same angle and one check box and adjacent word being identical. Four other items were indicated on the video, but not actually identified in the audio.

The careless viewer might leave the impression that the dates from the Ah’nee certificate were copied onto the Obama certificate, because they appear, Zullo claims, at the same angle. Let’s put the magic of video aside, and look at the plain image (the boxes around the images are from the documents themselves). Ah’nee’s certificate1 is on the right.

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Notice how the one on the left is obviously copied from the one on the right—not. First, and most obvious, the date isn’t the same date. The angle looks different to me, but then I’m not a forensic document examiner. Zullo says that an adjustment can be made to account for some kind of distortion in photocopying and make the angles the same.

More assertions appear, via Zullo, from Hawaiian handwriting expert Reed Hayes, and also from an Italian company, ForLab Multimedia Forensics Laboratory; however, nothing from them went beyond the 9 bits of similarity between the two certificates. Mike Zullo told Carl Gallups in March of 2016 that he was working with an international forensic laboratory and had already received the first report from them. Zullo says that Hayes thinks that the Stanley Ann Obama signature on the birth certificate was somehow put together, but doesn’t elaborate. This may be confusion from the fact that the Xerox 7655 machine split the signature into separate layers.

Zullo acknowledged that Hawaii had verified the information on Obama’s birth certificate, but suggests that perhaps it had been amended. Zullo fails to explain precisely why Obama would forge a Hawaiian birth certificate, when he already had one.

In several instances, Zullo misrepresents the facts to make things sound suspicious, and as he has done in previous presentations, he carefully words things that technically say one thing, but leave the impression of something else. He says something extremely suspicious: that the Italian forensic laboratory claimed that if they had a larger sample size, the probability that Obama’s document is a forgery would increase, but of course that would only be true if there were consistency in the sample and variation from the Obama certificate, which one wouldn’t know without looking at the sample.

While Zullo promised to explain why the current results do not invalidate their earlier findings, he never touches on that topic. Zullo goes to some lengths to emphasize that the Xerox machine which he admits replicates “some” of the characteristics of the Obama PDF is irrelevant to this new analysis, but he fails to acknowledge that in previous presentations, he claimed that those same characteristics, now known as normal, were marks of forgery.

When all of the rhetoric a conspiracist language is stripped away, all that actually remains is a couple of date stamps being at the same angle, and a box with an X in it is the same. It’s not much.

In any case, there is nothing released yet so that one can actually dig into the argument. Will the Reed Hayes report ever be released? We don’t yet know.

Live streaming stopped abruptly at 5:03 PM Arizona time as Zullo was making a fantasy recreation of Savannah Guthrie viewing the original Obama certificate. When I got it back, Arpaio stated that they would take no questions and the press conference ended.

Press conference videos

Documents:

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1The Ah’nee certificate linked above was created May 4, 2011, I believe, by Orly Taitz. Taitz published that certificate on her web site in December of 2013, which is where I obtained it. I do not know for sure where Zullo got his copy, but presumably it came from Jerome Corsi who had previously published a redacted version of it at WND.

Posted in Birth Certificate, Mike Zullo | Tagged | 204 Comments

Did Russia hack the election?

imageNo, I’m not starting a second career. As of this writing the trumpconspiracy.org domain is available1 and I’m not grabbing it. I thought about it briefly a few days ago, before I heard that the Senate is going to hold hearings on Russia’s role in the recent presidential election. Trump conspiracies are certainly a juicy topic with lies abounding, sealed documents (Trump’s tax returns), Clinton campaign email hacking that almost certainly leads back to Russia, Trump’s business dealings with Russian oligarchs and of course, Trump’s recent selection of a Secretary of State with close ties to Russia.

I decided against a new blogging topic because I’m biased. I got into Obama conspiracies at a time when I had barely heard of Barack Obama. All I could have told you about him in the Summer of 2008 is that he was a Democratic Senator from Illinois who gave a speech at the Democratic National Convention 4 years prior that was well received, but that I hadn’t heard. At that time I supported Clinton. Could Obama have been born in Kenya and thus ineligible? I would have said I didn’t know. I dug in and found that the conspiracy theories surrounding President Obama were utter nonsense. I came to my conclusions initially without much bias, which is why I trust them.

Trump, on the other hand, sets off alarm bells in my head every time he opens his tweet2. I already believe that if it weren’t for the combination of Democratic emails being hacked and fake news, Trump would not have won the election. Whether Russian security services actually altered votes after they were cast is a dubious proposition both because it would be hard to do and because the downside risk of discovery would be far too great.

I’ll be interested in the details coming out of the Senate investigation, and chances are very high that I will trust what comes out of them. I won’t be starting a new blog.

Two quotes from Donald Trump, the first from the Washington Post:

“I don’t believe they interfered” in the election, he told Time magazine this week. The hacking, he said, “could be Russia. And it could be China. And it could be some guy in his home in New Jersey.”

Earlier Trump tweeted, courtesy of CNN:3

Was it a birth certificate? You tell me. Some people say that was not his birth certificate. Maybe it was, maybe it wasn’t. I’m saying I don’t know. Nobody knows.


1As it was last time around, the .com version is taken. Obamaconspiracy.com had a stub of a web site that eventually went away. Trumpconspiracy.com is also “coming soon.”

2Trump is reportedly researching the feasibility of a 140-character State of the Union speech.

3Until I read that CNN page, I had never realized how closely Donald Trump aligned himself with mainstream birther conspiracy theories.  I’ve added it to the site’s Resources page.

Posted in 2016 Presidential Election, Donald Trump, Misc. Conspiracies | Tagged , , , | 46 Comments

Did the NY Times alter history? Obama Conspiracy Theories investigates!

Breitbart News published a publicist’s client list brochure from 1991 that includes Barack Obama, a description of a book project, and the curious statement that Barack Obama was born in Kenya—the exact words: “Born in Kenya and raised in Indonesia and Hawaii.” Breitbart News did not claim that Barack Obama was born in Kenya based on that brochure, but rather that the brochure was an example of Obama trying to, in their words, “manipulate his public persona.” You can read my full story on the brochure from 2012 for more details.

The publicist’s assistant who edited the brochure, Miriam Goderich, describes the statement as “erroneous,” a “fact checking error,” and “never any information given to us by Obama.” Birthers, or course, latch onto anything they can find, and they stretch plausibility arguments to conclude Obama must have provided the information, approved the biographical statement, knew about its inclusion, and made no effort to get it corrected for over a decade.

There is one gaping hole in both what Breitbart News suggested and what the birthers believe, and that is found in an article in the New York Times the year before the brochure was made that says, “Mr. Obama was born in Hawaii.” It was an article on Obama being the first black elected as president of the Harvard Law Review. It is wildly implausible that Obama would attempt to publicize a book project with a biography saying he was born in Kenya the very year after the New York Times, the country’s newspaper of record, published an article about Obama saying that he was born in Hawaii. Nobody would expect to get away with something like that. A publicist’s assistant fact checking error is plausible—Obama telling a contradictory story in such a public way is not. Continue reading

Posted in Birther Report, Fake News, Media | Tagged , , , , , | 109 Comments

Biggest birther story of the year

It is possible, I suppose, that the rotting corpse of Bob Nelson lies undiscovered somewhere in the forests of North Carolina and that is the explanation of why the Birther Report web site has had no new articles since September 16. Perhaps there’s just no money in the birther Internet anymore. Here’s a poll here as to what you think is the biggest birther story of the year, but whichever you select, BR has ignored it:

What is the biggest birther story of 2016?

  • Former birther Donald Trump elected president (48%, 46 Votes)
  • Donald Trump states categorically that Barack Obama was born in the US (19%, 18 Votes)
  • Birther Sheriff Joe Arpaio defeated in re-election bid (17%, 16 Votes)
  • Zullo announces final news conference and proof that Obama's birth certificate is a forgery (17%, 16 Votes)

Total Voters: 96

Loading ... Loading ...

Each of those stories has a significant impact on the birthers. On the negative side Donald Trump’s renunciation of birtherism (and his claim that he personally finished the controversy) removes one great hope of the birthers—that the federal government under a Trump administration will make the investigation of the former president’s birth certificate a high priority. Likewise the defeat of Joe Arpaio in his re-election bid and the statement from the sheriff-elect that the birth certificate investigation in Maricopa County will be shut down, ends the last quasi-official inquiry into the matter.

While Donald Trump has renounced birtherism, he still promises to achieve something that the birthers crave, the dismantling of what the Obama administration did. This is as close to the magic reset button as the birthers will get. It looks pretty certain that ObamaCare will be replaced by Trump[I don’t]Care and executive policy on immigration is likely to be reversed.  The big hope, however, still comes from Mike Zullo who has promised “gut-wrenching” revelations (words Zullo used in 2014) and the culmination of all the Cold Case Posse’s work. Sheriff Arpaio himself says that the results of the investigation will be packaged and presented to the new administration.

Posted in Birther Report, Reader Pollls | Tagged | 172 Comments

A post-Melendres Zullo email surfaces

This email surfaced in a post Melendres disclosure. It was supposedly received by Mike Zullo on March 3 of this year.

Honorable Commander Zullo;

I hope you are not offended as I present to you in this mail. I am Johnjohn Williams of the Nigerian Forensics Laboratory. We are famous in our region for our documents and our examiners, with customers such as the Nigerian Petroleum Export Company ( NPEC) to the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN). We have been under the strict prohibition from our government to stay far from any Obama work because his birth certificate is a state secret, but our founder Abdalm Wismala is dying of the cancer and has not long to remain. He wants the truth to the world about Obama and his no good documents to repor, and he has nothing to lose.

For a small cost of $20000 USD we will report you with everything, seeing that the Obama birth certificate was put together from little pieces. We will tell you where they come from. We know all these things because our forensics are best in the world. It is urgent time to complete the work before honorable Wismala dies. The fee only covers the cost of our materials, and some fees we will have to pay to go under the nose of the government inspector. This email is in full confidence.

Please respond with your full name, address, and banking account number so that we can get started.

Posted in Lounge | 9 Comments