In our five-year mission to seek out comprehension of the Birther Universe (BirtherVerse), I have come across quite a number of interesting concepts. In this late-stage retrospective, I’ll reprise some of them.
One of the most useful of the concepts I learned studying the birthers is the Dunning-Kruger Effect. In the simplest terms, the less someone knows, the more they think they know (and vice versa). This error in valuation of expertise underlies much of a birther’s view of evidence, and explains why someone with no experience in forensic document examination, or electronic file analysis, thinks that they are competent to render an 100% certain opinion on Barack Obama’s birth certificate. This human foible is not unique to birthers, and I find myself fighting it every day. I think that knowing how one makes mistakes helps reduce the number of them.
Another fun concept is the Crazification Factor, an observation that a significant number of people (sometimes set at 27%) just say crazy things. I was going to say that it explains really odd polling results, but I don’t think it actually explains anything. It is just an observation, and because of it, the numbers of birthers shouldn’t be seen as surprising. Human beings are just less rational than they seem on the surface.
Another idea that I found helpful was the influence of community. Birthers who believe crazy things seem deluded. Delusions have three characteristics: 1) they are believed with certainty, 2) they do not respond to counterargument, and 3) they are patently untrue. A clinical diagnosis of delusion has an exception, and that is when the delusion is held by one’s community or sub-culture, such as birther Internet social networks. (I think sub-culture is useful in understanding the bizarre comments at Birther Reports that would be socially unacceptable in general.) On that same line, historian Richard Hofstadter describes a “paranoid style” of thinking that is not actually clinically paranoid. Paranoid style thinking differs from paranoid thinking in that the subject thinks that the conspiracy is out to get everybody, not just him.
I suppose no discussion of birthers would be complete without mentioning confirmation bias. Put simply people tend to more readily accept information that is in line with what they already believe, and to reject information to the contrary. Again, this is a weakness we all have to some degree and being aware of it can help avoid mistakes.
There is also the infinite progression of complexity theory. A theory which states that the more convoluted a scenario is to a particular conspiracy, the more likely that it is the only possible explanation.
Think of it as the opposite to Ockham’s Razor.
I am curious if any other filthy Obots have heard of any other conspiracy theory which incorporates the firm belief that the conspiracy’s deniers will be tried/convicted/imprisoned/executed. Have flat-earthers, JFK nuts, moon-hoaxers or 9/11 Truthers employed this ridiculous gambit Or is it something new and exclusive to Birfoons?
Nope, I think its just birthers. It never occurs to any of them, that if Obama was what they fear him to be, they’d all be stone. f’ing. dead. by now! Every last one of them, because they see him as someone who kills dissenting voices. Well, they’re still squawking, and therefore drawing breath, so obviously that little theory is incorrect.
Ah ha! Suggests a title for a new movie: “Attack of the Zombie Birthers”.
At least some 9/11 Truthers accuse Bush of treason:
“Confirmed Isreal did 9-11 – Bush/Clinton admin gave Nukes to Israel Used in 9-11. Treason by US Presidents. … There is more, but just keep these in mind as you read and then you will see why I say what these two presidents did was treason and a death penalty offense.”
or
“This (9/11) was all planned. This was a government-ordered operation. Bush personally signed the order. He personally authorized the attacks. He is guilty of treason and mass murder.” –Stanley Hilton
http://vaticproject.blogspot.mx/2014/05/confirmed-isreal-did-9-11-bushclinton.html
Threatening non-believers with punishment is commonplace among religious extremists, and since bitherism seems as much a cult as a conspiracy, it’s not surprising to find it rife with threats against infidels.
Yes, but do any 9/11 Truthers regularly tell people who deny Trutherism (i.e., the vast majority of sane Americans) that they, personally will be punished for their “complicity,” in the manner that Birfers routinely tell anyone posting sanity on the Internet that they will be rounded up as soon as the Kenyan Muslim Usurper is deposed?
It just seems to be a new development in conspiracy theorism that merely disagreeing with the conspiracy makes one criminally complicit, as opposed to just “sheeple.”
OK, this makes sense, inasmuch as Birferism is entirely faith-based, if not religious in nature.
Shoot them in the keyboard. Its the only way to stop a Zombie Birther. A head-shot is completely ineffectual, as the brain is far too atrophied to be a weak point. Destroying their keyboard takes away their only means of attack.
Reminds me of the Zombie movie, “World War Z,” in which North Korea stopped the spread of Zombies, who transmitted their infection through biting, by pulling everybody’s teeth.
That would be “Rube Goldberg’s razor”.
HA! Yeah, that was one of the more interesting Zombies I’ve seen semi-recently!
I’ve seen a lot of strange stuff from conspiracy buffs over the years but this extension is new in recent history but, as I recall, supporters of those out of favor in the past were treated quite harshly.by those in power.
I’m sure that movie brought home one point strongly to the theater audience, “mute your cell phone!”
First, I’m not sure how widespread that attitude is outside a few vocal Yahoos on the Internet. It could also be an artifact of the echo chamber.
Reading your columns along with TheFogbow has certainly helped me understand Butterdezillion’s craziness. I can’t think of a person who better exemplifies both confirmation bias and the Dunning-Kruger Effect.
With Butternut, confirmation bias leads her to fervently and unquestionably believe any negative statement or wild conspiracy about Obama. She has a whole memorized mythology which she has pieced together from all the negative articles posted at FreeRepublic. But confirmation bias also makes her reject any statement of fact about Obama put out by the mainstream media.
Butternut’s skepticism of anything published in the mainstream media brings out the Dunning-Kruger Effect of her personality. BZ thinks that in order to be an expert on anything – law, document analysis, ocean rescue protocols, etc. – all you have to do is research it on the internet. And naturally she researches it with a conclusion in mind. Her insightful research has led her to the conclusion that Hawaii has indirectly confirmed that Obama’s birth certificate is a forgery. And that frogmen were positioned at the site of Ms. Fuddy’s airplane crash. It’s all true! She’s done the research! (Sigh.)
I agree with Doc. The “Anti-birthers will end up in jail” group is a subset of a subset of Birthers. Basically a handful of commenters on a couple of blogs. Even the Birthers at FreeRepublic rarely use that line.
Second, there’s a good chance you’ve noticed these Birthers making that prediction, but not other conspiracy theorists, simply because you pay more attention to the random isolated Birthers online than you do to random isolated people who promote other conspiracy theories. It’s a selection bias; go browsing AboveTopSecret and the like, and you’ll find other brands of crazy.
For instance, while it’s not threats of jail, high-profile alt-medicine hack Mike Adams made a controversial post just in the past week where he basically argued that people who defend GMO crops should be *killed*. And someone (quite possibly Adams himself) created a “hit list” of bloggers who oppose Adams and his anti-GMO claims.
http://blogs.discovermagazine.com/collideascape/2014/07/22/mike-adams-monsanto-nazis-disturbing-article/
hand-in-hand with dunning-kruger, birthers disregard real knowledge, real expertise and the real credentials of those who’ve put in the time training to earn them. they disregard real experts because real experts consistently tell them the last thing they want to hear: that they’re wrong. as i’ve said:
and as asimov’s said:
Witness this every time the birthers lose in court. The birthers are incensed that the judges are so ignorant!
freeper diogenesLamp:
denial is a powerful drug.
I like Dara O’Briain’s response to crackpots who think they deserve to be heard because “Well, science doesn’t know everything”:
There’s “academia as seen by RWNJ’s” in a nutshell for you. They’re the ones who mindlessly parrot whatever they read on their sites, and they think university works the same way and doesn’t encourage independent thought and research.